Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.524008 0.607806 0.700009 0.808893 0.933872 1.072748 1.238682
2025-05-04 0.394678 0.510898 0.652469 0.837155 1.071258 1.357626 1.734024
2025-05-11 0.317051 0.444404 0.611350 0.845241 1.163382 1.579830 2.165013
2025-05-18 0.261555 0.391484 0.572393 0.841060 1.228050 1.763107 2.556415
2025-05-25 0.219038 0.347280 0.535506 0.829593 1.274749 1.919939 2.921648
2025-06-01 0.187655 0.313384 0.506880 0.823261 1.323828 2.080339 3.303752
2025-06-08 0.158320 0.277547 0.469323 0.796414 1.335540 2.182359 3.604055
2025-06-15 0.149040 0.272736 0.479607 0.845780 1.471344 2.487562 4.250153
2025-06-22 0.128055 0.244603 0.447236 0.819381 1.478114 2.584353 4.565622
2025-06-29 0.110736 0.220354 0.418109 0.794226 1.482706 2.675670 4.877673
2025-07-06 0.096895 0.200488 0.394067 0.774679 1.493870 2.777421 5.214868
2025-07-13 0.089569 0.192119 0.390046 0.791241 1.571659 3.002512 5.790776
2025-07-20 0.085820 0.190666 0.399507 0.835557 1.708015 3.349860 6.630092
2025-07-27 0.080103 0.184381 0.398782 0.859946 1.809018 3.642096 7.396478
2025-08-03 0.073435 0.175048 0.390596 0.867964 1.877883 3.878699 8.077108
2025-08-10 0.066489 0.164037 0.377407 0.863659 1.920499 4.066783 8.677812
2025-08-17 0.059775 0.152557 0.361706 0.851896 1.945771 4.221605 9.224433
2025-08-24 0.054237 0.143040 0.349134 0.845402 1.981288 4.399958 9.834900
2025-08-31 0.047922 0.130665 0.328439 0.817864 1.967097 4.471917 10.225979
2025-09-07 0.047152 0.132225 0.340678 0.868500 2.134730 4.948884 11.533686
2025-09-14 0.041892 0.121289 0.321393 0.841422 2.119548 5.023333 11.960303
2025-09-21 0.037299 0.111437 0.303529 0.815620 2.104393 5.095885 12.388241
2025-09-28 0.033495 0.103186 0.288681 0.795569 2.100851 5.194179 12.883270